Daily puzzles — 2026-08-14
Slot 1: icm
Correct action: Fold.
- Seat D shoves: 2,000 chips
- Seat A stack: 15,000 chips
- Dead money already in the pot: 400 chips
- Win probability if called: 45.0%
- Chip-EV of calling: -20 chips
- Chip-EV of folding: 0 chips
- Verdict: $EV(call) -1.28 falls short of $EV(fold) 0.00 — a risk premium of $1.28.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| $EV(call) | $-1.28 |
| $EV(fold) | $0.00 |
| Risk premium | $1.28 |
Slot 2: push-fold
Optimal action: Jam.
- Stack: 8 BB
- Position: Small blind
- Structure: No antes
- Nash range: 78% of the grid jams at this depth — see the grid below.
| Action | EV (BB) |
|---|---|
| Jam (optimal) | -0.47 |
| Fold | -0.50 |
Slot 3: find-the-nuts
The nuts on each street.
- Flop board: Js, Jd, Kc
- Flop nuts: Kd, Kh or Kd, Ks or Kh, Ks
- Flop why: A full house — no other two-card holding beats this board.
- Turn board: Js, Jd, Kc, Ad
- Turn nuts: Ac, Ah or Ac, As or Ah, As
- Turn why: A full house — no other two-card holding beats this board.
- River board: Js, Jd, Kc, Ad, 6s
- River nuts: Ac, Ah or Ac, As or Ah, As
- River why: A full house — no other two-card holding beats this board.
Slot 4: equity
True equity: 51.2%.
- Your hand: 5d, 4d
- Villain: Jd, Qc
- Flop: 9c, 9d, 3d
- Rule of thumb: Each out is worth about 4% equity on the flop — useful for estimating a draw's equity at a glance.
Slot 5: pot-odds
Correct action: Fold.
- Pot: 5 BB
- Bet: 3 BB
- To call: 3 BB
- Required equity: call / (pot + bet + call) = 3 / (5 + 3 + 3) = 3/11 = 27.3%
- Your hand: 3h, Kd
- Villain: 4d, 4s
- Turn: 2c, 9d, 5h, Ts
- Verdict: 6.8% falls short of the 27.3% you need, so calling loses chips long-run.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Required equity | 27.3% |
| Your equity | 6.8% |
| EV of calling | -2.25 BB |